
The estimated annual incidence of acute coronary syndrome events are 605000 for new events and 200000 for recurrent events.1 Coronary artery calcium (CAC) score has been proposed as one of the key elements to prevent future atherosclerotic vascular disease (ASCVD). Guidelines have suggested aggressive therapy and risk factor modification at higher CAC score.2, 3 However, it has been unclear what cut-off of CAC score correlates with established ASCVD that would warrant aggressive intervention to prevent future events.
Researchers from multiple centers enrolled patients in CONFIRM (Coronary CT Angiography for Clinical Outcomes: An International Multinational Registry) registry in 2 phases with a follow-up of 3-5 years. Phase 1 enrolled adults without a known ASCVD and was used as a derivation cohort. Phase 2 enrolled adults with known ASCVD and similar demographics and served as the validation cohort.4
A total of 4949 patients were included in the final analysis, with a median follow-up of 4.7 years. The patients were divided into 4 groups based on CAC (0, 1-99, 100-299, >300) and compared with patients with established ASCVD. The mean age was 57.6 ± 12.4 years (56% male). The incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE including all-cause mortality, non-fatal MI, hospitalization for unstable angina, and late revascularization) was higher (20%) in group with CAC >300 in patients without preexisting ASCVD. The MACE rate was similar among patients with preexisting ASCVD when compared to CAC >300 (27% vs. 27%), myocardial infarction (10% vs.11%), and all-cause mortality (20% vs. 20%). Upon Cox-Regression analysis, for predictors of MACE when CAC groups compared to prior ASCVD, patients with CAC score of 0, 1-99, 100-299 were at significantly lower risk of MACE. However, CAC >300 was at a similar risk of MACE compared to prior ASCVD.4